GEORGE WASHINGTON
REVOLUTIONARIESGW
17-13 | Road
62
LOYOLA CHICAGO
RAMBLERSLUC
7-23 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
RAMBLERS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (George Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)
GW By 1-7 points
9.3%
GW By 8-14 points
20.1%
LUC By 1-7 points
2.2%
LUC By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
George Washington
79
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Loyola Chicago
60
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
George Washington
65
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Loyola Chicago
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Revolutionaries
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Revolutionaries (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
GW @ LUC
62 - 68
Jan 10, 2026
LUC @ GW
66 - 101
Feb 26, 2025
GW @ LUC
57 - 77
Feb 10, 2024
LUC @ GW
81 - 73
Dec 31, 2022
GW @ LUC
97 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+47.9% more
George Washington: 8.0
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+15.9% more
George Washington: 35.9
vs
Loyola Chicago: 30.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
George Washington: 48.8%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 44.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.9%
George Washington: 68.8%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 67.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GW Score
79.0
62
LUC Score
60.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 36.1
37.0 / 27.0
Assists
13.3 / 13.8
16.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.4
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 48.8
44.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
67.0 / 68.8
88.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 35.9
35.0 / 40.0
Steals
4.2 / 8.0
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 13.9
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
GW
LUC
GW
ML
55%
18-15
63%
22-13
50%
16-16
60%
21-14
ATS
64%
21-12
69%
24-11
50%
16-16
60%
21-14
TTL
76%
25-8
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
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