Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Buffaloes ARIZ @ COLO

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

28-2  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 11:00 PM ET
CU Events Center
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

17-13  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
BUFFALOES
0%
WILDCATS --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Colorado)
WildcatsARIZ (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

15.9%

Buffaloes Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

ARIZ By 1-7 points

10.7%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

3.3%

COLO By 1-7 points

23.0%

COLO By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
71
ARIZONA
81
COLORADO
Simulated Score
71
ARIZONA
82
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 ARIZ @ COLO 89 - 79
Jan 25, 2025 COLO @ ARIZ 63 - 78
Feb 10, 2024 ARIZ @ COLO 99 - 79
Jan 4, 2024 COLO @ ARIZ 50 - 97
Feb 18, 2023 COLO @ ARIZ 68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Colorado: 37.7% vs Arizona: 32.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Colorado: 50.0% vs Arizona: 46.0%
Rebounding (L5) +26.4% more
Arizona: 41.6 vs Colorado: 30.6
Steals (L5) +13.5% more
Arizona: 6.7 vs Colorado: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARIZ Score 71.0 89
COLO Score 81.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 32.1 32.0 / 36.0
Assists 15.9 / 14.7 14.0 / 22.0
Blocks 4.0 / 3.9 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 46.0 41.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 80.3 95.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 41.6 32.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.7 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.9 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
ARIZ
COLO
ARIZ
ML
61% 20-13
67% 26-13
69% 22-10
68% 23-11
ATS
73% 24-9
74% 29-10
69% 22-10
68% 23-11
TTL
45% 15-18
56% 22-17
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 16 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 23 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
si 4 days, 1 hour ago