FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
17-13 | Road
70
WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
20-10 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
SHOCKERS
0%
OWLS
--
SHOCKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Wichita State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WICH -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)
FAU By 1-7 points
0.2%
FAU By 8-14 points
0.0%
WICH By 1-7 points
1.7%
WICH By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida Atlantic
62
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Wichita State
90
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
Florida Atlantic
75
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Wichita State
71
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Shockers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Shockers (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Owls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
FAU @ WICH
70 - 88
Jan 15, 2026
WICH @ FAU
67 - 85
Feb 20, 2025
WICH @ FAU
75 - 68
Feb 11, 2024
FAU @ WICH
95 - 82
Jan 18, 2024
WICH @ FAU
77 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+23.1% more
Wichita State: 46.2
vs
Florida Atlantic: 37.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.8%
Wichita State: 76.1%
vs
Florida Atlantic: 66.3%
Assists (L5)
+21.8% more
Florida Atlantic: 12.7
vs
Wichita State: 9.9
Steals (L5)
+11.3% more
Florida Atlantic: 5.2
vs
Wichita State: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAU Score
62.0
70
WICH Score
90.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 32.1
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
9.9 / 12.7
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 45.3
51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 66.3
92.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
46.2 / 37.6
35.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.6 / 5.2
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 9.5
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
FAU
WICH
FAU
ML
61%
22-14
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
66%
21-11
ATS
64%
23-13
70%
23-10
68%
23-11
66%
21-11
TTL
69%
25-11
58%
19-14
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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