FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
24-6 | Road
84
KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
19-11 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
GATORS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FLA -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1-7 points
8.0%
FLA By 8-14 points
18.6%
UK By 1-7 points
1.7%
UK By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
91
FLORIDA
Kentucky
71
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Florida
73
FLORIDA
Kentucky
78
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Gators (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UK @ FLA
63 - 71
Mar 7, 2026
FLA @ UK
84 - 77
Feb 14, 2026
UK @ FLA
83 - 92
Jan 4, 2025
FLA @ UK
100 - 106
Jan 31, 2024
FLA @ UK
94 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.1% more
Florida: 5.0
vs
Kentucky: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+16.5% more
Florida: 46.2
vs
Kentucky: 38.6
Assists (L5)
+14.0% more
Florida: 20.0
vs
Kentucky: 17.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Florida: 54.8%
vs
Kentucky: 48.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
91.0
84
UK Score
71.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 38.9
35.0 / 44.0
Assists
17.2 / 20.0
17.0 / 20.0
Blocks
1.9 / 5.0
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 54.8
39.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
69.9 / 71.6
81.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 46.2
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.3
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 9.9
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
UK
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
UK
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
FLA
UK
FLA
ML
71%
25-10
77%
27-8
72%
23-9
63%
22-13
ATS
83%
29-6
69%
24-11
72%
23-9
63%
22-13
TTL
63%
22-13
63%
22-13
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
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