AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
REBELS
0%
GAMECOCKS
--
REBELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Ole Miss)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)
SC By 1-7 points
13.7%
SC By 8-14 points
4.8%
MISS By 1-7 points
25.3%
MISS By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina
74
SOUTH CAROLINA
Ole Miss
82
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
South Carolina
72
SOUTH CAROLINA
Ole Miss
76
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rebels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rebels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rebels (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Rebels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
SC @ MISS
64 - 61
Feb 12, 2025
MISS @ SC
72 - 68
Feb 24, 2024
SC @ MISS
72 - 59
Feb 6, 2024
MISS @ SC
65 - 68
Mar 8, 2023
MISS @ SC
67 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+72.1% more
Ole Miss: 3.7
vs
South Carolina: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+45.4% more
Ole Miss: 15.6
vs
South Carolina: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+32.6% more
Ole Miss: 7.0
vs
South Carolina: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+20.0% more
Ole Miss: 11.4
vs
South Carolina: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SC Score
74.0
64
MISS Score
82.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 30.1
7.0 / 31.0
Assists
15.6 / 10.7
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.2
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 39.2
42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 75.9
82.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 28.5
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.3
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 9.5
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
SC
MISS
SC
ML
48%
16-17
72%
23-9
52%
17-16
68%
21-10
ATS
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
52%
17-16
68%
21-10
TTL
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
100%
33-0
100%
31-0