RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
15-15 | Road
77
DUQUESNE
DUKESDUQ
16-14 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
0%
DUKES
100%
SPIDERS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Richmond)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICH -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)
RICH By 1-7 points
26.8%
RICH By 8-14 points
24.3%
DUQ By 1-7 points
16.9%
DUQ By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
74
RICHMOND
Duquesne
68
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
Richmond
70
RICHMOND
Duquesne
76
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spiders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spiders (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
RICH @ DUQ
77 - 79
Feb 5, 2025
DUQ @ RICH
68 - 73
Jan 16, 2024
RICH @ DUQ
63 - 61
Jan 7, 2023
DUQ @ RICH
73 - 75
Feb 1, 2022
RICH @ DUQ
74 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Richmond: 71.7%
vs
Duquesne: 69.3%
Blocks (L5)
+132.5% more
Duquesne: 3.6
vs
Richmond: 1.5
Turnovers (L5)
+99.1% more
Duquesne: 13.4
vs
Richmond: 6.7
Steals (L5)
+11.4% more
Duquesne: 7.9
vs
Richmond: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
74.0
77
DUQ Score
68.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 28.3
20.0 / 60.0
Assists
11.6 / 10.8
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.5
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
39.7 / 39.7
44.0 / 64.0
Free Throw %
69.3 / 71.7
94.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
30.9 / 28.4
32.0 / 22.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.1
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 6.7
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
DUQ
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
DUQ
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
RICH
DUQ
RICH
ML
53%
17-15
53%
17-15
58%
18-13
56%
18-14
ATS
69%
22-10
44%
14-18
58%
18-13
56%
18-14
TTL
50%
16-16
56%
18-14
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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