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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

33-25-4  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

32-21-8  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
@
Elvis Merzlikins
GOALTENDER

Elvis Merzlikins

#90 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Karel Vejmelka None-None 3.86 0.871 --
Elvis Merzlikins None-None 4.83 0.800 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.86 Ldr GAA 4.83
0.871 Ldr Save % 0.800
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
0%
MAMMOTH --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Columbus)
MammothUTA (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

15.9%

Blue Jackets Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

UTA By 1 goal

6.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

CBJ By 1 goal

17.5%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
UTAH
3
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
2
UTAH
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Blue Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 UTA @ CBJ 4 - 1
Mar 7, 2026 UTA @ CBJ 5 - 4
Jan 11, 2026 CBJ @ UTA 3 - 2
Feb 6, 2025 UTA @ CBJ 3 - 2
Jan 31, 2025 CBJ @ UTA 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +4.9%
Columbus: 55.4% vs Utah: 50.4%
Power Play % (L5) +10.3%
Utah: 24.4% vs Columbus: 14.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 1.0 5
CBJ Score 3.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
UTA
CBJ
UTA
ML
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
100% 2-0
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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