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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

35-23-5  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

30-25-5  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 0.93 0.968 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 1.87 0.941 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.93 Ldr GAA 1.87
0.968 Ldr Save % 0.941
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
SHARKS
0%
ISLANDERS --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

30.9%

Sharks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

SJ By 1 goal

19.7%

SJ By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NEW YORK
3
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
2
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sharks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sharks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Islanders (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 NYI @ SJ 2 - 1
Oct 21, 2025 SJ @ NYI 3 - 4
Mar 8, 2025 NYI @ SJ 4 - 2
Jan 18, 2025 SJ @ NYI 1 - 4
Mar 7, 2024 NYI @ SJ 7 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +27.9% more
San Jose: 15.8 vs New York: 12.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.9% more
San Jose: 25.7 vs New York: 22.4
Hits (L5) +13.3% more
San Jose: 24.2 vs New York: 21.3
Power Play % (L5) +5.2%
San Jose: 8.8% vs New York: 3.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 2.0 2
SJ Score 3.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
32%MONEY68%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
NYI
SJ
NYI
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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