Home / NHL Projections NHL / Canadiens @ Ducks MTL @ ANA

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

33-18-9  |  Road

5
FINAL
Fri, Mar 6 • 9:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

34-24-3  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Sam Montembeault
GOALTENDER

Sam Montembeault

#35 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Sam Montembeault None-None 4.62 0.848 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 4.70 0.821 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.62 Ldr GAA 4.70
0.848 Ldr Save % 0.821
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
📊
DUCKS
100%
CANADIENS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Ducks Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

ANA By 1 goal

12.1%

ANA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MONTREAL
3
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
MONTREAL
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 15, 2026 ANA @ MTL 4 - 3
Mar 6, 2026 MTL @ ANA 5 - 6
Feb 2, 2025 MTL @ ANA 2 - 3
Dec 9, 2024 ANA @ MTL 2 - 3
Feb 13, 2024 ANA @ MTL 0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +9.5%
Montreal: 31.0% vs Anaheim: 21.5%
Faceoff % (L5) +8.7%
Montreal: 56.1% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Takeaways (L5) +31.1% more
Anaheim: 5.7 vs Montreal: 4.3
Hits (L5) +30.8% more
Anaheim: 25.1 vs Montreal: 19.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 4.0 5
ANA Score 3.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
91%MONEY9%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
MTL
ANA
MTL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 7 hours, 45 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 57 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago
Flyers Land Michael Bunting in Bid to Stop Early Season Skid
yourvalley_net 2 days, 1 hour ago