LA
CLIPPERSLAC
30-31 | Road
112
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
45-17 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
SPURS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.4%
SA By 1-7 points
9.3%
SA By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
125
LA
San Antonio
114
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
LA
108
LA
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-7)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o221.5
Win
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Sim
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
SA @ LAC
118 - 99
Mar 16, 2026
SA @ LAC
119 - 115
Mar 6, 2026
LAC @ SA
112 - 116
Apr 8, 2025
SA @ LAC
117 - 122
Jan 29, 2025
LAC @ SA
128 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+11.0% more
LA: 8.8
vs
San Antonio: 7.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
LA: 83.3%
vs
San Antonio: 78.0%
Blocks (L5)
+47.5% more
San Antonio: 8.5
vs
LA: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+21.6% more
San Antonio: 29.3
vs
LA: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
125.0
112
SA Score
114.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 34.3
41.0 / 36.0
Assists
29.3 / 24.1
29.0 / 22.0
Blocks
8.5 / 5.8
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 51.0
48.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 83.3
50.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
46.8 / 45.0
52.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.8
6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 12.6
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
LAC
SA
LAC
ML
60%
111-73
60%
59-40
58%
61-44
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
107-76-1
66%
65-33-1
58%
61-44
55%
45-37
TTL
74%
134-47-3
59%
58-40-1
100%
105-0
100%
82-0
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