Home / NHL Projections NHL / Hurricanes @ Oilers CAR @ EDM

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

39-16-6  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Mar 6 • 9:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

30-24-8  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Sean Walker
GOALTENDER

Sean Walker

#26 | Defense
@
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Sean Walker None-None -- -- --
Tristan Jarry None-None 5.10 0.839 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 5.10
-- Save % 0.839
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
HURRICANES --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Edmonton)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

2.3%

Oilers Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

CAR By 1 goal

0.9%

CAR By 2-3 goals

0.3%

EDM By 1 goal

6.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
CAROLINA
5
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 CAR @ EDM 6 - 3
Nov 15, 2025 EDM @ CAR 4 - 3
Mar 1, 2025 EDM @ CAR 3 - 1
Oct 22, 2024 CAR @ EDM 3 - 2
Dec 6, 2023 CAR @ EDM 1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +24.4% more
Edmonton: 20.0 vs Carolina: 16.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +17.7% more
Edmonton: 36.9 vs Carolina: 31.3
Takeaways (L5) +34.6% more
Carolina: 5.4 vs Edmonton: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 1.0 6
EDM Score 5.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
CAR
EDM
CAR
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 2 hours, 30 minutes ago
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
local10 20 hours, 39 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 2 hours ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 2 hours ago
Semyon Varlamov Returns to Islanders Net After 676 Days and Two …
nypost 1 day, 20 hours ago