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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

23-29-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Mar 6 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

30-25-4  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
@
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jordan Binnington None-None 1.97 0.920 --
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 2.96 0.786 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.97 Ldr GAA 2.96
0.920 Ldr Save % 0.786
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
BLUES --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

30.9%

Sharks Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sharks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sharks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Sharks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 STL @ SJ 4 - 5
Mar 26, 2026 SJ @ STL 1 - 2
Mar 6, 2026 STL @ SJ 3 - 2
Dec 12, 2024 SJ @ STL 4 - 3
Nov 21, 2024 SJ @ STL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +19.9%
St. Louis: 28.6% vs San Jose: 8.8%
Faceoff % (L5) +3.3%
St. Louis: 47.5% vs San Jose: 44.3%
Blocked Shots (L5) +35.4% more
San Jose: 15.8 vs St. Louis: 11.6
Takeaways (L5) +17.7% more
San Jose: 4.8 vs St. Louis: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.0 3
SJ Score 2.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
STL
SJ
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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