AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
0%
ROYALS
100%
WOLVES
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUC +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
WGA By 1-7 points
27.4%
WGA By 8-14 points
21.6%
QUC By 1-7 points
20.1%
QUC By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
West Georgia
81
WEST GEORGIA
Queens University
77
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
West Georgia
72
WEST GEORGIA
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
WGA @ QUC
63 - 71
Feb 21, 2026
WGA @ QUC
84 - 91
Jan 24, 2026
QUC @ WGA
66 - 74
Feb 24, 2025
QUC @ WGA
72 - 57
Feb 1, 2025
WGA @ QUC
68 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.8% more
West Georgia: 5.2
vs
Queens University: 2.8
Rebounding (L5)
+18.1% more
West Georgia: 38.2
vs
Queens University: 31.3
Turnovers (L5)
+17.3% more
West Georgia: 11.3
vs
Queens University: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+34.8% more
Queens University: 7.1
vs
West Georgia: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WGA Score
81.0
63
QUC Score
77.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 34.9
36.0 / 13.0
Assists
14.9 / 12.8
15.0 / 6.0
Blocks
2.8 / 5.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 51.0
43.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
82.7 / 72.7
67.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 38.2
37.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.3
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 11.3
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
WGA
QUC
WGA
ML
71%
25-10
58%
18-13
71%
24-10
61%
19-12
ATS
86%
30-5
71%
22-9
71%
24-10
61%
19-12
TTL
47%
16-18-1
55%
17-14
100%
34-0
100%
31-0