COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
16-11 | Road
71
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
16-11 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
CRIMSON
0%
LIONS
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HARV -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
COLU By 1-7 points
20.1%
COLU By 8-14 points
9.3%
HARV By 1-7 points
27.4%
HARV By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia
68
COLUMBIA
Harvard
72
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Columbia
70
COLUMBIA
Harvard
73
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crimson
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crimson (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
COLU @ HARV
71 - 81
Jan 10, 2026
HARV @ COLU
79 - 54
Feb 15, 2025
COLU @ HARV
75 - 87
Jan 31, 2025
HARV @ COLU
90 - 82
Feb 17, 2024
HARV @ COLU
80 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+101.9% more
Harvard: 3.3
vs
Columbia: 1.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
Harvard: 77.0%
vs
Columbia: 69.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Columbia: 32.0%
vs
Harvard: 26.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLU Score
68.0
71
HARV Score
72.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.9 / 32.0
43.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.1 / 13.0
18.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.3 / 1.6
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 43.8
54.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.0 / 69.5
83.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 33.9
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.5
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 12.9
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
COLU
HARV
COLU
ML
45%
13-16
44%
12-15
52%
15-14
56%
15-12
ATS
45%
13-16
59%
16-11
52%
15-14
56%
15-12
TTL
41%
12-17
74%
20-7
100%
29-0
100%
27-0
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