Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Broncos @ Golden Flashes WMU @ KENT

WESTERN MICHIGAN

BRONCOSWMU

10-20  |  Road

78
FINAL
Fri, Mar 6 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

22-8  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
0%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
BRONCOS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BroncosWMU (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Broncos Cover

38.2%

Golden Flashes Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENT +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

WMU By 1-7 points

27.2%

WMU By 8-14 points

20.1%

KENT By 1-7 points

21.6%

KENT By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
71
WESTERN MICHIGAN
68
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
65
WESTERN MICHIGAN
78
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Broncos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 WMU @ KENT 78 - 86
Mar 13, 2025 WMU @ KENT 66 - 73
Mar 4, 2025 KENT @ WMU 77 - 76
Jan 14, 2025 WMU @ KENT 94 - 83
Feb 6, 2024 WMU @ KENT 61 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.4%
Western Michigan: 78.6% vs Kent State: 70.2%
Steals (L5) +197.7% more
Kent State: 7.8 vs Western Michigan: 2.6
Assists (L5) +72.9% more
Kent State: 16.9 vs Western Michigan: 9.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Kent State: 40.2% vs Western Michigan: 34.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WMU Score 71.0 78
KENT Score 68.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 34.5 41.0 / 38.0
Assists 16.9 / 9.8 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.1 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 42.4 47.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 78.6 64.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 35.5 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.8 / 2.6 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 10.7 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9% Total +/-: +1.3
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
WMU
KENT
WMU
ML
53% 18-16
60% 18-12
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
ATS
65% 22-12
67% 20-10
65% 22-12
70% 21-9
TTL
44% 15-19
57% 17-13
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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