ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
24-6 | Road
72
SETON HALL
PIRATESHALL
20-10 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
RED STORM
0%
PIRATES
100%
RED STORM
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ST. JOHN'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (St. John's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SJU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJU)
SJU By 1-7 points
26.8%
SJU By 8-14 points
24.3%
HALL By 1-7 points
16.9%
HALL By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. John's
64
ST. JOHN'S
Seton Hall
58
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
St. John's
71
ST. JOHN'S
Seton Hall
78
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Storm
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Storm (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
HALL @ SJU
68 - 78
Mar 6, 2026
SJU @ HALL
72 - 65
Jan 20, 2026
HALL @ SJU
60 - 65
Mar 1, 2025
HALL @ SJU
61 - 71
Jan 18, 2025
SJU @ HALL
79 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+27.2% more
St. John's: 19.4
vs
Seton Hall: 14.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.8% more
St. John's: 40.1
vs
Seton Hall: 33.7
Blocks (L5)
+33.9% more
Seton Hall: 5.9
vs
St. John's: 4.4
Turnovers (L5)
+31.9% more
Seton Hall: 11.6
vs
St. John's: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJU Score
64.0
72
HALL Score
58.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 30.5
9.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.1 / 19.4
8.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.9 / 4.4
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 40.6
41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 74.0
67.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 40.1
36.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.7 / 7.6
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 8.8
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
HALL
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
HALL
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
SJU
HALL
SJU
ML
41%
13-19
62%
18-11
60%
18-12
62%
18-11
ATS
50%
16-16
66%
19-10
60%
18-12
62%
18-11
TTL
53%
17-15
59%
17-12
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
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