NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
9-20 | Road
55
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
25-5 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
ZIPS
0%
HUSKIES
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
NIU By 1-7 points
18.6%
NIU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AKR By 1-7 points
27.2%
AKR By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Illinois
75
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Akron
80
AKRON
Simulated Score
Northern Illinois
63
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Akron
78
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+23.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
NIU @ AKR
55 - 94
Feb 18, 2025
NIU @ AKR
63 - 73
Jan 28, 2025
AKR @ NIU
80 - 70
Mar 2, 2024
NIU @ AKR
73 - 80
Jan 2, 2024
AKR @ NIU
73 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+128.5% more
Akron: 8.6
vs
Northern Illinois: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+62.9% more
Akron: 17.7
vs
Northern Illinois: 10.8
Rebounding (L5)
+24.4% more
Akron: 39.1
vs
Northern Illinois: 31.5
Blocks (L5)
+14.2% more
Akron: 2.1
vs
Northern Illinois: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIU Score
75.0
55
AKR Score
80.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 27.5
67.0 / 19.0
Assists
17.7 / 10.8
20.0 / 4.0
Blocks
2.1 / 1.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 38.8
60.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 67.5
67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 31.5
41.0 / 23.0
Steals
8.6 / 3.8
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.9
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
NIU
AKR
NIU
ML
71%
24-10
67%
20-10
65%
22-12
66%
19-10
ATS
76%
26-8
63%
19-11
65%
22-12
66%
19-10
TTL
59%
20-14
67%
20-10
100%
34-0
100%
29-0
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