Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Aggies NE @ NCAT

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

6-23  |  Road

88
FINAL
Fri, Mar 6 • 2:00 PM ET
CareFirst Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

11-18  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
AGGIES
100%
HUSKIES --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Northeastern)
HuskiesNE (-3.5) 0 AggiesNCAT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

61.8%

Aggies Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)

NE By 1-7 points

27.2%

NE By 8-14 points

20.1%

NCAT By 1-7 points

21.6%

NCAT By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
78
NORTHEASTERN
75
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
68
NORTHEASTERN
75
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Huskies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o152.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 NE @ NCAT 88 - 72
Dec 31, 2025 NE @ NCAT 85 - 74
Feb 27, 2025 NCAT @ NE 55 - 69
Jan 18, 2024 NE @ NCAT 65 - 72
Dec 29, 2022 NCAT @ NE 76 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.3% more
Northeastern: 16.4 vs North Carolina A&T: 13.7
Free Throw % (L5) +4.0%
Northeastern: 69.7% vs North Carolina A&T: 65.7%
Blocks (L5) +44.8% more
North Carolina A&T: 2.4 vs Northeastern: 1.7
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
North Carolina A&T: 13.3 vs Northeastern: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NE Score 78.0 88
NCAT Score 75.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 35.1 25.0 / 43.0
Assists 13.7 / 16.4 8.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.4 / 1.7 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.5 / 47.3 41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 65.7 / 69.7 82.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 33.9 35.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.1 / 4.5 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 11.4 14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
NCAT Advantage
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
NE
NCAT
NE
ML
52% 14-13
70% 21-9
63% 17-10
60% 18-12
ATS
63% 17-10
63% 19-11
64% 18-10
60% 18-12
TTL
69% 18-8-1
53% 16-14
100% 28-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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