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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

30-29-3  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Mar 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

35-20-7  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
John Gibson None-None 2.07 0.909 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.07
-- Save % 0.909
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
RED WINGS
100%
PANTHERS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

84.1%

Red Wings Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

DET By 1 goal

6.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
FLORIDA
1
DETROIT
Simulated Score
2
FLORIDA
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 DET @ FLA 1 - 8
Mar 10, 2026 DET @ FLA 3 - 4
Mar 6, 2026 FLA @ DET 3 - 1
Oct 15, 2025 FLA @ DET 1 - 4
Apr 10, 2025 DET @ FLA 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +28.9% more
Florida: 23.2 vs Detroit: 16.5
Power Play % (L5) +16.3%
Florida: 27.3% vs Detroit: 11.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.1% more
Florida: 30.9 vs Detroit: 27.8
Takeaways (L5) +17.7% more
Detroit: 4.3 vs Florida: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.0 3
DET Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
46%MONEY54%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
FLA
DET
FLA
ML
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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