Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Rattlers BCU @ FAMU

BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

17-13  |  Road

77
FINAL
Thu, Mar 5 • 7:30 PM ET
Al Lawson Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA A&M

RATTLERSFAMU

13-15  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
RATTLERS
0%
WILDCATS --
RATTLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
FLORIDA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Florida A&M)
WildcatsBCU (-3.5) 0 RattlersFAMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

13.6%

Rattlers Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAMU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAMU)

BCU By 1-7 points

9.3%

BCU By 8-14 points

2.7%

FAMU By 1-7 points

21.6%

FAMU By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
74
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
85
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
68
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
72
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rattlers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rattlers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rattlers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Rattlers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 BCU @ FAMU 77 - 81
Jan 3, 2026 FAMU @ BCU 83 - 87
Mar 8, 2025 FAMU @ BCU 75 - 76
Jan 4, 2025 BCU @ FAMU 62 - 55
Mar 9, 2024 BCU @ FAMU 67 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +2.8%
Florida A&M: 72.3% vs Bethune-Cookman: 69.5%
Blocks (L5) +31.5% more
Bethune-Cookman: 5.2 vs Florida A&M: 3.5
Steals (L5) +14.4% more
Bethune-Cookman: 7.1 vs Florida A&M: 6.0
Turnovers (L5) +11.6% more
Bethune-Cookman: 15.7 vs Florida A&M: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 74.0 77
FAMU Score 85.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.1 / 29.3 30.0 / 25.0
Assists 14.2 / 14.9 6.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.5 / 5.2 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 51.3 41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.3 / 69.5 85.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 37.1 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.1 13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 15.7 9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
FAMU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
FAMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
BCU
FAMU
BCU
ML
55% 16-13
68% 21-10
71% 17-7
79% 22-6
ATS
48% 14-15
65% 20-11
71% 17-7
79% 22-6
TTL
76% 22-7
48% 15-16
100% 24-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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