HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
11-21 | Road
66
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
15-16 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
HC By 1-7 points
18.6%
HC By 8-14 points
8.0%
LEH By 1-7 points
27.2%
LEH By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
72
HOLY CROSS
Lehigh
77
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
70
HOLY CROSS
Lehigh
75
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
HC @ LEH
66 - 69
Feb 7, 2026
LEH @ HC
67 - 76
Jan 7, 2026
HC @ LEH
58 - 66
Feb 15, 2025
HC @ LEH
60 - 72
Feb 1, 2025
LEH @ HC
69 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+35.4% more
Lehigh: 11.7
vs
Holy Cross: 8.7
Assists (L5)
+31.1% more
Lehigh: 18.3
vs
Holy Cross: 14.0
Steals (L5)
+23.4% more
Lehigh: 5.3
vs
Holy Cross: 4.3
Blocks (L5)
+19.5% more
Lehigh: 3.1
vs
Holy Cross: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
72.0
66
LEH Score
77.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.7 / 32.1
46.0 / 25.0
Assists
18.3 / 14.0
11.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.6
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 44.4
49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
82.4 / 85.2
75.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 31.8
34.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.3 / 4.3
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 8.7
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
HC
LEH
HC
ML
56%
19-15
52%
16-15
68%
23-11
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
19-15
55%
17-14
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
TTL
76%
26-8
58%
18-13
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
