MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
30-0 | Road
110
OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
15-15 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
BOBCATS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Miami (OH))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
M-OH By 1-7 points
15.3%
M-OH By 8-14 points
25.3%
OHIO By 1-7 points
4.8%
OHIO By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)
76
MIAMI (OH)
Ohio
61
OHIO
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)
72
MIAMI (OH)
Ohio
75
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
M-OH @ OHIO
110 - 108
Feb 13, 2026
OHIO @ M-OH
74 - 90
Mar 1, 2025
M-OH @ OHIO
66 - 75
Feb 1, 2025
OHIO @ M-OH
69 - 73
Mar 8, 2024
OHIO @ M-OH
72 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.2% more
Miami (OH): 7.2
vs
Ohio: 4.9
Turnovers (L5)
+25.8% more
Miami (OH): 10.5
vs
Ohio: 7.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Miami (OH): 48.8%
vs
Ohio: 42.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Miami (OH): 33.7%
vs
Ohio: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score
76.0
110
OHIO Score
61.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 33.7
44.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.8 / 11.7
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.0
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 48.8
49.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 63.3
80.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 33.4
33.0 / 45.0
Steals
4.9 / 7.2
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
7.8 / 10.5
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
OHIO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
OHIO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
M-OH
OHIO
M-OH
ML
65%
20-11
45%
15-18
63%
19-11
41%
13-19
ATS
68%
21-10
61%
20-13
63%
19-11
41%
13-19
TTL
61%
19-12
61%
20-13
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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