LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
12-19 | Road
77
COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
17-14 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
RAIDERS
100%
GREYHOUNDS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)
L-MD By 1-7 points
26.2%
L-MD By 8-14 points
25.3%
COLG By 1-7 points
15.3%
COLG By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
78
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Colgate
71
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
62
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Colgate
75
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Greyhounds (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
L-MD @ COLG
77 - 90
Feb 21, 2026
L-MD @ COLG
98 - 101
Jan 14, 2026
COLG @ L-MD
86 - 80
Feb 23, 2025
COLG @ L-MD
65 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
L-MD @ COLG
68 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.3% more
Loyola Maryland: 6.1
vs
Colgate: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+8.3% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.3
vs
Colgate: 3.0
Turnovers (L5)
+43.1% more
Colgate: 10.0
vs
Loyola Maryland: 7.0
Assists (L5)
+25.6% more
Colgate: 14.4
vs
Loyola Maryland: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
78.0
77
COLG Score
71.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 30.9
42.0 / 36.0
Assists
14.4 / 11.5
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.3
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 41.2
63.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
81.5 / 77.1
78.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 35.8
30.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.1 / 6.1
0.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 7.0
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
L-MD
COLG
L-MD
ML
59%
19-13
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
ATS
72%
23-9
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
TTL
78%
25-7
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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