CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
25-37 | Road
105
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
35-26 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
SUNS
100%
BULLS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
CHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
26.8%
PHX By 1-7 points
12.2%
PHX By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Phoenix
109
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+12)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o223.0
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
PHX @ CHI
120 - 110
Mar 5, 2026
CHI @ PHX
105 - 103
Mar 19, 2025
CHI @ PHX
121 - 127
Feb 22, 2025
PHX @ CHI
121 - 117
Jan 22, 2024
CHI @ PHX
113 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.9% more
Chicago: 19.4
vs
Phoenix: 14.8
Blocks (L5)
+15.9% more
Chicago: 4.7
vs
Phoenix: 3.9
Assists (L5)
+12.8% more
Chicago: 27.6
vs
Phoenix: 24.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Chicago: 45.8%
vs
Phoenix: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
118.0
105
PHX Score
109.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 35.3
28.0 / 25.0
Assists
24.0 / 27.6
24.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.7
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 45.8
39.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 73.2
67.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
46.0 / 46.9
48.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.3 / 7.9
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 19.4
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
CHI
PHX
CHI
ML
57%
60-45
56%
54-42
51%
45-43
57%
46-35
ATS
58%
59-43-3
65%
62-33-1
51%
45-43
57%
46-35
TTL
59%
61-42-2
58%
56-40
100%
88-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…