Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Miners KENN @ UTEP

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

18-11  |  Road

71
FINAL
Thu, Mar 5 • 9:00 PM ET
Don Haskins Center
View Odds Details →

UTEP

MINERSUTEP

10-19  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
MINERS
0%
OWLS --
MINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (UTEP)
OwlsKENN (-3.5) 0 MinersUTEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

18.4%

Miners Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTEP -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)

KENN By 1-7 points

12.2%

KENN By 8-14 points

4.0%

UTEP By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTEP By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
KENNESAW STATE
83
UTEP
Simulated Score
68
KENNESAW STATE
75
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Miners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Miners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Miners (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Miners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 KENN @ UTEP 71 - 78
Feb 20, 2025 UTEP @ KENN 73 - 83
Jan 25, 2025 KENN @ UTEP 71 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.4%
UTEP: 72.0% vs Kennesaw State: 65.6%
Blocks (L5) +42.2% more
Kennesaw State: 5.6 vs UTEP: 3.2
Assists (L5) +40.4% more
Kennesaw State: 15.5 vs UTEP: 9.3
Steals (L5) +15.8% more
Kennesaw State: 7.3 vs UTEP: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 74.0 71
UTEP Score 83.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 43.8 38.0 / 13.0
Assists 9.3 / 15.5 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.2 / 5.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 49.0 42.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 65.6 73.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 31.7 39.0 / 51.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.3 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.3 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
7%MONEY93%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN Advantage
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTEP
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
KENN
UTEP
KENN
ML
70% 21-9
74% 25-9
72% 21-8
72% 23-9
ATS
57% 17-13
71% 24-10
73% 22-8
73% 24-9
TTL
60% 18-12
56% 19-15
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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