SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
13-18 | Road
91
IONA
GAELSIONA
18-13 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
GAELS
100%
PIONEERS
--
GAELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Sacred Heart)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)
SHU By 1-7 points
24.3%
SHU By 8-14 points
26.8%
IONA By 1-7 points
12.2%
IONA By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacred Heart
73
SACRED HEART
Iona
64
IONA
Simulated Score
Sacred Heart
70
SACRED HEART
Iona
78
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Gaels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
SHU @ IONA
91 - 80
Dec 7, 2025
IONA @ SHU
81 - 69
Mar 8, 2025
SHU @ IONA
88 - 90
Dec 6, 2024
IONA @ SHU
59 - 83
Nov 10, 2023
SHU @ IONA
81 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.5% more
Sacred Heart: 4.1
vs
Iona: 2.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.9%
Sacred Heart: 75.3%
vs
Iona: 69.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+58.2% more
Iona: 16.7
vs
Sacred Heart: 10.6
Steals (L5)
+22.6% more
Iona: 5.2
vs
Sacred Heart: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHU Score
73.0
91
IONA Score
64.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 34.9
26.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.7
17.0 / 21.0
Blocks
2.5 / 4.1
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 41.1
45.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 75.3
67.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
42.5 / 38.5
35.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.2 / 4.2
1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 10.6
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
SHU
IONA
SHU
ML
41%
13-19
61%
20-13
62%
20-12
73%
24-9
ATS
53%
17-15
76%
25-8
62%
20-12
73%
24-9
TTL
66%
21-11
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…