DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
12-19 | Road
67
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SALUKISSIU
16-15 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
SALUKIS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
SALUKIS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Southern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)
DRKE By 1-7 points
23.0%
DRKE By 8-14 points
12.2%
SIU By 1-7 points
26.8%
SIU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
66
DRAKE
Southern Illinois
68
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Drake
65
DRAKE
Southern Illinois
71
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Salukis
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Salukis
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Salukis (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Salukis (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
DRKE @ SIU
67 - 63
Feb 18, 2026
SIU @ DRKE
66 - 61
Jan 14, 2026
DRKE @ SIU
76 - 73
Mar 7, 2025
SIU @ DRKE
53 - 70
Feb 1, 2025
DRKE @ SIU
75 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+102.7% more
Southern Illinois: 7.6
vs
Drake: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+26.0% more
Southern Illinois: 13.8
vs
Drake: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Southern Illinois: 76.2%
vs
Drake: 67.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Southern Illinois: 43.9%
vs
Drake: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
66.0
67
SIU Score
68.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 30.0
16.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.8 / 11.0
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 39.6
39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 67.4
33.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 36.5
48.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.6 / 3.8
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 12.4
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
SIU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIU
DRKE
SIU
DRKE
ML
53%
17-15
59%
20-14
47%
15-17
38%
13-21
ATS
56%
18-14
85%
29-5
47%
15-17
38%
13-21
TTL
53%
17-15
56%
19-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…
Georgia Bulldogs Release Availability Report for SEC Opener at A…
Georgia Loses Starting Defensive Lineman Xzavier McLeod Just Day…