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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

35-21-5  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

33-24-3  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
@
Ville Husso
GOALTENDER

Ville Husso

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
Ville Husso None-None 1.02 0.977 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.02
-- Save % 0.977
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
ISLANDERS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Anaheim)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

2.3%

Ducks Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

NYI By 1 goal

0.9%

NYI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

ANA By 1 goal

6.6%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
5
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Islanders (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 NYI @ ANA 1 - 5
Dec 11, 2025 ANA @ NYI 2 - 5
Mar 9, 2025 NYI @ ANA 1 - 4
Oct 29, 2024 ANA @ NYI 3 - 1
Mar 10, 2024 NYI @ ANA 6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +30.3% more
Anaheim: 29.2 vs New York: 22.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.8% more
Anaheim: 14.6 vs New York: 12.3
Power Play % (L5) +17.9%
Anaheim: 21.5% vs New York: 3.6%
Takeaways (L5) +16.6% more
Anaheim: 5.5 vs New York: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 1.0 1
ANA Score 5.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
73%MONEY27%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
NYI
ANA
NYI
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-3
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 6 hours, 59 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 1 minute ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 11 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 1 minute ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago