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OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

12-20  |  Road

84
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 8:30 PM ET
Pensacola Bay Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

16-15  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
MONARCHS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Georgia Southern)
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 EaglesGASO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

46.0%

Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GASO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

ODU By 1-7 points

24.3%

ODU By 8-14 points

13.7%

GASO By 1-7 points

26.2%

GASO By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
76
OLD DOMINION
77
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
73
OLD DOMINION
78
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 ODU @ GASO 84 - 88
Jan 15, 2026 ODU @ GASO 84 - 87
Jan 3, 2026 GASO @ ODU 93 - 86
Feb 15, 2025 ODU @ GASO 75 - 78
Jan 18, 2025 GASO @ ODU 67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +65.5% more
Georgia Southern: 8.2 vs Old Dominion: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5) +4.3%
Georgia Southern: 78.2% vs Old Dominion: 73.9%
Assists (L5) +37.6% more
Old Dominion: 14.7 vs Georgia Southern: 9.2
Blocks (L5) +16.0% more
Old Dominion: 3.0 vs Georgia Southern: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 76.0 84
GASO Score 77.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 43.8 42.0 / 50.0
Assists 9.2 / 14.7 10.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.0 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 49.4 52.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.2 / 73.9 80.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 33.9 32.0 / 28.0
Steals 8.2 / 4.9 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 10.5 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
GASO
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
ODU
GASO
ODU
ML
56% 20-16
52% 17-16
58% 19-14
67% 22-11
ATS
64% 23-13
70% 23-10
58% 19-14
67% 22-11
TTL
61% 22-14
70% 23-10
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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