OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
48-15 | Road
103
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
40-22 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
100%
KNICKS
0%
THUNDER
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
OKC By 1-7 points
13.7%
OKC By 8-14 points
4.8%
NY By 1-7 points
25.3%
NY By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma City
115
OKLAHOMA CITY
New York
123
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Oklahoma City
113
OKLAHOMA CITY
New York
118
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o221.0
Loss
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim
u221.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
NY @ OKC
100 - 111
Mar 4, 2026
OKC @ NY
103 - 100
Jan 10, 2025
OKC @ NY
126 - 101
Jan 3, 2025
NY @ OKC
107 - 117
Mar 31, 2024
OKC @ NY
113 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+29.9% more
New York: 14.9
vs
Oklahoma City: 11.5
Assists (L5)
+18.3% more
New York: 29.4
vs
Oklahoma City: 24.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
New York: 36.1%
vs
Oklahoma City: 29.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
New York: 49.9%
vs
Oklahoma City: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKC Score
115.0
103
NY Score
123.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 29.5
29.0 / 38.0
Assists
29.4 / 24.8
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.5
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 44.4
42.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 80.1
73.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
45.6 / 48.3
48.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.8 / 10.0
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 11.5
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
OKC
NY
OKC
ML
61%
114-72
70%
80-34
56%
57-45
48%
46-49
ATS
67%
124-62
73%
83-30-1
56%
57-45
48%
46-49
TTL
72%
133-53
67%
76-38
100%
102-0
100%
95-0
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