Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trojans @ Huskies USC @ WASH

USC

TROJANSUSC

18-11  |  Road

72
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 10:30 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

14-15  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
TROJANS
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
TROJANS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TrojansUSC (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trojans Cover

42.1%

Huskies Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WASH +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

USC By 1-7 points

26.8%

USC By 8-14 points

18.6%

WASH By 1-7 points

23.0%

WASH By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
82
USC
80
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
70
USC
75
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trojans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 USC @ WASH 79 - 83
Mar 4, 2026 USC @ WASH 72 - 91
Dec 6, 2025 WASH @ USC 84 - 76
Mar 5, 2025 WASH @ USC 61 - 92
Dec 7, 2024 USC @ WASH 85 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.4% more
USC: 5.5 vs Washington: 3.6
Turnovers (L5) +26.9% more
USC: 13.3 vs Washington: 9.7
Steals (L5) +17.4% more
USC: 5.9 vs Washington: 4.8
Assists (L5) +14.7% more
USC: 14.1 vs Washington: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USC Score 82.0 72
WASH Score 80.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 28.2 23.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.0 / 14.1 14.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.6 / 5.5 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 41.1 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 79.4 67.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 32.5 46.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.8 / 5.9 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 13.3 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USC Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -3.5
WASH
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USC
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -3.5
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
USC
WASH
USC
ML
45% 15-18
52% 16-15
66% 21-11
58% 18-13
ATS
48% 16-17
68% 21-10
66% 21-11
58% 18-13
TTL
70% 23-10
68% 21-10
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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