AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
ROOS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
ORAL ROBERTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Oral Roberts)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORU)
KC By 1-7 points
0.2%
KC By 8-14 points
0.0%
ORU By 1-7 points
1.7%
ORU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
61
KANSAS CITY
Oral Roberts
89
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
Kansas City
70
KANSAS CITY
Oral Roberts
75
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Eagles (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Golden Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
KC @ ORU
62 - 84
Feb 28, 2026
ORU @ KC
94 - 70
Feb 12, 2026
KC @ ORU
60 - 69
Mar 5, 2025
ORU @ KC
56 - 73
Feb 1, 2025
KC @ ORU
67 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+38.2% more
Oral Roberts: 39.1
vs
Kansas City: 28.3
Steals (L5)
+21.0% more
Oral Roberts: 6.9
vs
Kansas City: 5.7
Assists (L5)
+15.8% more
Oral Roberts: 13.6
vs
Kansas City: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.4%
Oral Roberts: 73.1%
vs
Kansas City: 59.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
61.0
62
ORU Score
89.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 30.3
48.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.6 / 11.8
13.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 38.9
50.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 59.6
65.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 28.3
43.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.7
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.7
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
ORU
Advantage
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
ORU
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
KC
ORU
KC
ML
85%
28-5
63%
19-11
73%
24-9
67%
20-10
ATS
82%
27-6
67%
20-10
73%
24-9
67%
20-10
TTL
61%
20-13
70%
21-9
100%
33-0
100%
30-0