AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
RAMBLERS
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
LUC By 1-7 points
12.2%
LUC By 8-14 points
4.0%
SLU By 1-7 points
24.3%
SLU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
81
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Saint Louis
90
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
70
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Saint Louis
78
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Billikens (+21.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
LUC @ SLU
65 - 79
Feb 13, 2026
SLU @ LUC
86 - 59
Mar 14, 2025
SLU @ LUC
64 - 72
Mar 1, 2025
LUC @ SLU
67 - 98
Feb 14, 2025
SLU @ LUC
69 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+54.8% more
Saint Louis: 6.6
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.3
Blocks (L5)
+24.0% more
Saint Louis: 3.6
vs
Loyola Chicago: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+17.4% more
Saint Louis: 17.0
vs
Loyola Chicago: 14.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.7%
Saint Louis: 43.0%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 31.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
81.0
65
SLU Score
90.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.0 / 31.3
53.0 / 48.0
Assists
17.0 / 14.5
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.9
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 43.0
60.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 65.0
67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 33.8
26.0 / 23.0
Steals
6.6 / 4.3
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 13.8
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
LUC
SLU
LUC
ML
70%
23-10
55%
18-15
68%
21-10
50%
16-16
ATS
73%
24-9
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
50%
16-16
TTL
61%
20-13
76%
25-8
100%
31-0
100%
32-0