Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Explorers FOR @ LAS

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

16-13  |  Road

84
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 6:30 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

8-21  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
EXPLORERS
0%
RAMS --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (La Salle)
RamsFOR (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

46.0%

Explorers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

FOR By 1-7 points

24.3%

FOR By 8-14 points

13.7%

LAS By 1-7 points

26.2%

LAS By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
71
FORDHAM
72
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
70
FORDHAM
73
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Explorers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Explorers (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o131.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u131.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 FOR @ LAS 84 - 87
Jan 28, 2026 LAS @ FOR 58 - 64
Jan 29, 2025 FOR @ LAS 88 - 72
Jan 6, 2024 LAS @ FOR 81 - 76
Mar 9, 2023 LAS @ FOR 61 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.8% more
La Salle: 3.0 vs Fordham: 2.1
Turnovers (L5) +10.7% more
La Salle: 12.3 vs Fordham: 11.1
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
La Salle: 74.6% vs Fordham: 68.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
La Salle: 33.6% vs Fordham: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FOR Score 71.0 84
LAS Score 72.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 29.2 24.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.4 / 13.2 15.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.1 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 36.6 / 40.5 48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 68.9 91.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 35.3 38.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.6 / 8.4 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 11.1 10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
6%MONEY94%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
FOR
LAS
FOR
ML
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
ATS
78% 25-7
59% 19-13
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
TTL
66% 21-11
59% 19-13
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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