Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Blue Demons VILL @ DEP

VILLANOVA

WILDCATSVILL

22-7  |  Road

76
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Wintrust Arena
View Odds Details →

DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

16-13  |  Home

57
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
BLUE DEMONS
100%
WILDCATS --
BLUE DEMONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WildcatsVILL (-3.5) 0 Blue DemonsDEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Blue Demons Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEP +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)

VILL By 1-7 points

26.2%

VILL By 8-14 points

16.9%

DEP By 1-7 points

24.3%

DEP By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
67
VILLANOVA
66
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
72
VILLANOVA
65
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Demons (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 VILL @ DEP 76 - 57
Dec 31, 2025 DEP @ VILL 66 - 71
Feb 5, 2025 VILL @ DEP 59 - 49
Jan 4, 2025 DEP @ VILL 56 - 100
Mar 13, 2024 DEP @ VILL 57 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +14.1% more
Villanova: 2.2 vs DePaul: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +17.7% more
DePaul: 34.5 vs Villanova: 29.3
Steals (L5) +10.6% more
DePaul: 7.9 vs Villanova: 7.2
Turnovers (L5) +8.2% more
DePaul: 12.2 vs Villanova: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VILL Score 67.0 76
DEP Score 66.0 57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 30.7 13.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.1 / 14.7 9.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.9 / 2.2 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 42.5 43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 69.6 / 65.8 69.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 29.3 29.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.9 / 7.2 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 11.3 16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VILL Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
DEP
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VILL
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +1.7
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
VILL
DEP
VILL
ML
59% 19-13
44% 14-18
80% 24-6
72% 23-9
ATS
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
80% 24-6
72% 23-9
TTL
53% 17-15
41% 13-19
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Duke Demolishes Belmont by 40 in Preseason Blowout
yahoo 0 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 9 hours, 3 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 8 hours ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 9 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 3 hours ago