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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

38-16-6  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, Mar 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

18-35-7  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
@
Kevin Lankinen
GOALTENDER

Kevin Lankinen

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brandon Bussi None-None 4.00 0.818 --
Kevin Lankinen None-None 7.53 0.818 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 Ldr GAA 7.53
0.818 Save % 0.818
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
CANUCKS
100%
HURRICANES --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

97.7%

Canucks Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

6.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

VAN By 1 goal

0.9%

VAN By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CAROLINA
1
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 CAR @ VAN 6 - 4
Nov 14, 2025 VAN @ CAR 3 - 4
Jan 10, 2025 VAN @ CAR 0 - 2
Oct 28, 2024 CAR @ VAN 4 - 3
Feb 6, 2024 VAN @ CAR 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.5% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Vancouver: 25.2
Power Play % (L5) +18.4%
Carolina: 20.5% vs Vancouver: 2.0%
Takeaways (L5) +17.6% more
Carolina: 6.1 vs Vancouver: 5.0
Faceoff % (L5) +3.9%
Carolina: 53.1% vs Vancouver: 49.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 5.0 6
VAN Score 1.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
97%MONEY3%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CAR
VAN
CAR
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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