AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Hampshire)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNH)
BRY By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRY By 8-14 points
13.7%
UNH By 1-7 points
26.2%
UNH By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
72
BRYANT
New Hampshire
73
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Simulated Score
Bryant
70
BRYANT
New Hampshire
75
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+1)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
BRY @ UNH
83 - 88
Jan 31, 2026
UNH @ BRY
84 - 92
Mar 4, 2025
UNH @ BRY
56 - 90
Jan 23, 2025
BRY @ UNH
95 - 76
Feb 8, 2024
UNH @ BRY
66 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
New Hampshire: 34.3
vs
Bryant: 31.5
Blocks (L5)
+41.2% more
Bryant: 4.0
vs
New Hampshire: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.9%
Bryant: 77.3%
vs
New Hampshire: 60.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Bryant: 40.8%
vs
New Hampshire: 35.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
72.0
83
UNH Score
73.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 32.4
29.0 / 38.0
Assists
11.6 / 11.7
11.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.0
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
35.8 / 40.8
49.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
60.4 / 77.3
53.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 31.5
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.4
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 12.5
5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
UNH
Advantage
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
UNH
Advantage
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNH
BRY
UNH
BRY
ML
70%
19-8
70%
21-9
74%
20-7
80%
24-6
ATS
67%
18-9
73%
22-8
74%
20-7
80%
24-6
TTL
59%
16-11
67%
20-10
100%
27-0
100%
30-0