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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

40-10-9  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

33-23-3  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 1.00 0.964 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 5.03 0.808 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 5.03
0.964 Ldr Save % 0.808
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
AVALANCHE --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Anaheim)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

2.3%

Ducks Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

COL By 1 goal

0.9%

COL By 2-3 goals

0.3%

ANA By 1 goal

6.6%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLORADO
5
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 COL @ ANA 5 - 1
Jan 21, 2026 ANA @ COL 2 - 1
Nov 11, 2025 ANA @ COL 1 - 4
Apr 13, 2025 COL @ ANA 4 - 2
Dec 20, 2024 COL @ ANA 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +61.2% more
Anaheim: 6.7 vs Colorado: 4.2
Hits (L5) +49.4% more
Anaheim: 23.4 vs Colorado: 15.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +49.1% more
Anaheim: 14.6 vs Colorado: 9.8
Power Play % (L5) +21.0%
Anaheim: 21.5% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 1.0 5
ANA Score 5.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
COL
ANA
COL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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