SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
43-17 | Road
131
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
33-27 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
76ERS
0%
SPURS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
SA By 1-7 points
5.8%
SA By 8-14 points
1.4%
PHI By 1-7 points
16.9%
PHI By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
102
SAN ANTONIO
Philadelphia
116
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
San Antonio
122
SAN ANTONIO
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (+8)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Spurs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u232.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim
u232.0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 6, 2026
PHI @ SA
102 - 115
Mar 3, 2026
SA @ PHI
131 - 91
Mar 21, 2025
PHI @ SA
120 - 128
Dec 23, 2024
SA @ PHI
106 - 111
Apr 7, 2024
PHI @ SA
133 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.2% more
Philadelphia: 11.1
vs
San Antonio: 9.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.6%
Philadelphia: 80.5%
vs
San Antonio: 73.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Philadelphia: 37.5%
vs
San Antonio: 35.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+30.5% more
San Antonio: 15.7
vs
Philadelphia: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
102.0
131
PHI Score
116.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 35.5
24.0 / 40.0
Assists
24.0 / 30.0
20.0 / 36.0
Blocks
4.2 / 6.0
5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 46.4
35.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 73.9
79.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
42.2 / 42.7
40.0 / 56.0
Steals
11.1 / 9.0
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 15.7
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SA
PHI
SA
ML
63%
69-40
60%
111-73
48%
45-48
58%
61-44
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
107-76-1
48%
45-48
58%
61-44
TTL
55%
60-49
74%
134-47-3
100%
93-0
100%
105-0
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