DETROIT
PISTONSDET
45-14 | Road
109
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
38-24 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
PISTONS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
13.7%
DET By 8-14 points
24.3%
CLE By 1-7 points
4.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
129
DETROIT
Cleveland
113
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Cleveland
105
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Pistons (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o229.0
Loss
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u229.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.4% more
Detroit: 11.9
vs
Cleveland: 9.2
Rebounding (L5)
+22.3% more
Detroit: 53.4
vs
Cleveland: 41.5
Blocks (L5)
+14.4% more
Detroit: 7.1
vs
Cleveland: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Detroit: 75.7%
vs
Cleveland: 72.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
129.0
109
CLE Score
113.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.8 / 23.9
37.0 / 38.0
Assists
27.3 / 25.9
27.0 / 29.0
Blocks
6.1 / 7.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 46.7
44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 75.7
77.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 53.4
38.0 / 44.0
Steals
9.2 / 11.9
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 15.1
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
DET
CLE
DET
ML
60%
69-46
55%
64-53
56%
55-44
49%
47-49
ATS
67%
75-37-3
53%
60-54-3
56%
55-44
49%
47-49
TTL
59%
68-47
60%
70-46-1
100%
99-0
100%
96-0
Contextual Game News
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Jalen Duren Returns to Pistons Camp, Impressing with Speed and E…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …