Home / NBA Projections NBA / Thunder @ Bulls OKC @ CHI

OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

47-15  |  Road

116
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

25-36  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
📊
BULLS
100%
THUNDER --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Oklahoma City)
ThunderOKC (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thunder Cover

91.9%

Bulls Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

OKC By 1-7 points

16.9%

OKC By 8-14 points

26.2%

CHI By 1-7 points

5.8%

CHI By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
124
OKLAHOMA CITY
110
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
108
OKLAHOMA CITY
120
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Thunder (+10) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o231.0 Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u231.0 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 27, 2026 CHI @ OKC 113 - 131
Mar 3, 2026 OKC @ CHI 116 - 108
Mar 31, 2025 CHI @ OKC 117 - 145
Oct 26, 2024 OKC @ CHI 114 - 95
Nov 22, 2023 CHI @ OKC 102 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +18.0% more
Oklahoma City: 6.7 vs Chicago: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5) +2.8%
Oklahoma City: 78.6% vs Chicago: 75.9%
Turnovers (L5) +53.9% more
Chicago: 19.6 vs Oklahoma City: 12.7
Assists (L5) +8.1% more
Chicago: 27.8 vs Oklahoma City: 25.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKC Score 124.0 116
CHI Score 110.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 32.3 35.0 / 24.0
Assists 27.8 / 25.7 27.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.5 / 6.7 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 45.0 43.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 78.6 68.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 43.9 / 46.9 53.0 / 51.0
Steals 10.3 / 10.0 3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 19.6 / 12.7 19.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC Advantage
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
OKC
CHI
OKC
ML
56% 54-42
70% 80-34
57% 46-35
48% 46-49
ATS
65% 62-33-1
73% 83-30-1
57% 46-35
48% 46-49
TTL
58% 56-40
67% 76-38
100% 81-0
100% 95-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
dallasnews 2 hours, 9 minutes ago
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 2 hours, 16 minutes ago
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
yahoo 8 hours ago
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
bleacherreport 8 hours, 12 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 8 hours, 15 minutes ago