BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
15-45 | Road
98
MIAMI
HEATMIA
32-29 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
HEAT
0%
NETS
--
HEAT
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
BKN By 1-7 points
21.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
10.7%
MIA By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Miami
115
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Miami
118
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Heat
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Heat
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Heat (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Heat (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.0
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
BKN @ MIA
110 - 126
Mar 3, 2026
BKN @ MIA
98 - 124
Dec 18, 2025
MIA @ BKN
106 - 95
Feb 7, 2025
MIA @ BKN
86 - 102
Jan 25, 2025
MIA @ BKN
106 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+45.1% more
Miami: 49.5
vs
Brooklyn: 34.1
Blocks (L5)
+29.5% more
Miami: 4.0
vs
Brooklyn: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+23.3% more
Brooklyn: 8.5
vs
Miami: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
112.0
98
MIA Score
115.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 36.3
36.0 / 19.0
Assists
26.8 / 27.2
28.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.1
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 48.1
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 74.7
88.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
49.5 / 34.1
46.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.5
13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 14.8
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIA
Advantage
43-40-0
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIA
Advantage
47-36-0
(56.6%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
MIA
47-36-0
O: 56.6% / U: 43.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
BKN
MIA
BKN
ML
48%
46-50
53%
50-45
59%
48-34
59%
48-34
ATS
51%
49-47
52%
48-44-3
59%
48-34
59%
48-34
TTL
59%
57-39
57%
54-41
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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