NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
39-22 | Road
111
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
35-25 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
RAPTORS
100%
KNICKS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
23.0%
NY By 8-14 points
27.2%
TOR By 1-7 points
10.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
126
NEW YORK
Toronto
116
TORONTO
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Toronto
115
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o221.5
Loss
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
TOR @ NY
95 - 112
Mar 3, 2026
NY @ TOR
111 - 95
Jan 28, 2026
NY @ TOR
119 - 92
Dec 9, 2025
NY @ TOR
117 - 101
Nov 30, 2025
TOR @ NY
94 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+13.4% more
New York: 9.6
vs
Toronto: 8.3
Rebounding (L5)
+13.2% more
New York: 46.9
vs
Toronto: 40.7
Turnovers (L5)
+8.2% more
New York: 13.4
vs
Toronto: 12.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.6%
Toronto: 80.0%
vs
New York: 71.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
126.0
111
TOR Score
116.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 37.2
29.0 / 34.0
Assists
27.0 / 28.0
24.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 46.3
45.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
80.0 / 71.4
89.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 46.9
28.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.3 / 9.6
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 13.4
15.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
NY
TOR
NY
ML
55%
57-47
61%
114-72
55%
48-39
56%
57-45
ATS
61%
62-40-2
67%
124-62
55%
48-39
56%
57-45
TTL
60%
62-42
72%
133-53
100%
87-0
100%
102-0
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