DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
16-14 | Road
51
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
20-10 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
PRIDE
100%
DRAGONS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
DREX By 1-7 points
27.2%
DREX By 8-14 points
20.1%
HOF By 1-7 points
21.6%
HOF By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Drexel
78
DREXEL
Hofstra
75
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Hofstra
75
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dragons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
DREX @ HOF
51 - 62
Jan 3, 2026
HOF @ DREX
70 - 67
Jan 20, 2025
HOF @ DREX
55 - 60
Feb 22, 2024
DREX @ HOF
57 - 69
Feb 15, 2024
HOF @ DREX
77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.8% more
Drexel: 12.3
vs
Hofstra: 10.0
Blocks (L5)
+59.6% more
Hofstra: 5.2
vs
Drexel: 3.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.1%
Hofstra: 37.6%
vs
Drexel: 29.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DREX Score
78.0
51
HOF Score
75.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 29.5
25.0 / 37.0
Assists
11.1 / 12.0
8.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.3
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 45.5
44.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 73.7
64.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
38.4 / 36.6
43.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.7 / 5.0
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 12.3
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
DREX
HOF
DREX
ML
77%
27-8
58%
19-14
71%
25-10
81%
26-6
ATS
83%
29-6
70%
23-10
71%
25-10
81%
26-6
TTL
51%
18-17
48%
16-17
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
