Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buffaloes @ Utes COLO @ UTAH

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

16-13  |  Road

92
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 9:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

10-19  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
0%
📊
UTES
100%
BUFFALOES --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Colorado)
BuffaloesCOLO (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buffaloes Cover

90.3%

Utes Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLO -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

COLO By 1-7 points

18.6%

COLO By 8-14 points

26.8%

UTAH By 1-7 points

6.8%

UTAH By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
71
COLORADO
58
UTAH
Simulated Score
70
COLORADO
75
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 COLO @ UTAH 92 - 78
Jan 7, 2026 UTAH @ COLO 73 - 85
Feb 5, 2025 COLO @ UTAH 59 - 72
Mar 14, 2024 UTAH @ COLO 58 - 72
Feb 24, 2024 UTAH @ COLO 65 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.5% more
Colorado: 5.7 vs Utah: 4.5
Assists (L5) +12.8% more
Colorado: 15.3 vs Utah: 13.3
Turnovers (L5) +12.3% more
Colorado: 13.5 vs Utah: 11.9
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Colorado: 44.5% vs Utah: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 71.0 92
UTAH Score 58.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 30.1 38.0 / 53.0
Assists 13.3 / 15.3 15.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.5 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 44.5 52.0 / 61.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 70.3 78.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 32.4 23.0 / 27.0
Steals 4.5 / 5.7 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 13.5 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
COLO
UTAH
COLO
ML
56% 18-14
61% 20-13
67% 20-10
69% 22-10
ATS
56% 18-14
73% 24-9
67% 20-10
69% 22-10
TTL
41% 13-19
45% 15-18
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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