HAMPTON
PIRATESHAMP
13-17 | Road
85
WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
18-11 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
TRIBE
0%
PIRATES
--
TRIBE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (William & Mary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around W&M -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)
HAMP By 1-7 points
23.0%
HAMP By 8-14 points
12.2%
W&M By 1-7 points
26.8%
W&M By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Hampton
78
HAMPTON
William & Mary
80
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
Hampton
68
HAMPTON
William & Mary
78
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tribe
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tribe
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tribe (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Tribe (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
HAMP @ W&M
85 - 94
Feb 7, 2026
W&M @ HAMP
74 - 77
Jan 23, 2025
HAMP @ W&M
83 - 94
Jan 16, 2025
W&M @ HAMP
67 - 64
Mar 2, 2024
HAMP @ W&M
73 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+70.0% more
William & Mary: 3.2
vs
Hampton: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+56.5% more
William & Mary: 17.4
vs
Hampton: 11.1
Steals (L5)
+44.2% more
William & Mary: 8.9
vs
Hampton: 6.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
William & Mary: 48.9%
vs
Hampton: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score
78.0
85
W&M Score
80.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.7 / 30.4
40.0 / 26.0
Assists
17.4 / 11.1
17.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.2 / 1.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 42.9
58.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 74.4
80.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
29.1 / 32.2
39.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.9 / 6.2
2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 9.3
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
W&M
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
HAMP
W&M
HAMP
ML
55%
17-14
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
75%
24-8
ATS
63%
19-11-1
50%
16-16
61%
19-12
75%
24-8
TTL
61%
19-12
68%
21-10-1
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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