MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
16-14 | Road
89
NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
6-22 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
HAWKS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Northeastern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NE -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)
MONM By 1-7 points
15.3%
MONM By 8-14 points
5.8%
NE By 1-7 points
26.2%
NE By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
64
MONMOUTH
Northeastern
71
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Monmouth
68
MONMOUTH
Northeastern
75
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
MONM @ NE
89 - 83
Jan 19, 2026
NE @ MONM
68 - 81
Feb 24, 2025
NE @ MONM
73 - 78
Feb 10, 2024
MONM @ NE
65 - 77
Jan 8, 2024
NE @ MONM
62 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.6% more
Monmouth: 6.3
vs
Northeastern: 3.7
Blocks (L5)
+15.5% more
Monmouth: 2.3
vs
Northeastern: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+11.7% more
Monmouth: 14.8
vs
Northeastern: 13.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.6%
Monmouth: 79.7%
vs
Northeastern: 68.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
64.0
89
NE Score
71.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.2 / 36.9
53.0 / 40.0
Assists
13.1 / 14.8
23.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.0 / 2.3
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 45.4
57.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 79.7
73.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 35.8
30.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.7 / 6.3
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.2
12.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
MONM
NE
MONM
ML
70%
21-9
62%
21-13
60%
18-12
64%
21-12
ATS
63%
19-11
62%
21-13
60%
18-12
64%
21-12
TTL
53%
16-14
59%
20-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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