Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Warhawks @ Monarchs ULM @ ODU

UL MONROE

WARHAWKSULM

4-27  |  Road

80
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 8:30 PM ET
Pensacola Bay Center
View Odds Details →

OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

11-20  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
WARHAWKS
0%
📊
MONARCHS
100%
WARHAWKS --
MONARCHS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WarhawksULM (-3.5) 0 MonarchsODU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warhawks Cover

42.1%

Monarchs Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ODU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

ULM By 1-7 points

26.8%

ULM By 8-14 points

18.6%

ODU By 1-7 points

23.0%

ODU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
UL MONROE
76
OLD DOMINION
Simulated Score
65
UL MONROE
72
OLD DOMINION
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Monarchs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Monarchs (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Monarchs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 ULM @ ODU 80 - 87
Feb 4, 2026 ULM @ ODU 85 - 79
Dec 21, 2024 ODU @ ULM 80 - 75
Jan 20, 2024 ULM @ ODU 80 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.9% more
Old Dominion: 4.0 vs UL Monroe: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +23.9% more
Old Dominion: 11.7 vs UL Monroe: 9.5
Steals (L5) +11.3% more
Old Dominion: 5.4 vs UL Monroe: 4.9
Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Old Dominion: 49.0% vs UL Monroe: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ULM Score 78.0 80
ODU Score 76.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 28.3 65.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.5 / 12.6 19.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.8 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 40.3 50.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 71.7 64.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 30.5 36.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.4 / 4.9 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 9.5 8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ULM
4-28-0 (12.5%)
Margin: -11.5 ATS +/-: -0.9
ODU Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ULM Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -11.5 ATS +/-: -0.9
ODU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0% Total +/-: +5.8
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ODU
ULM
ODU
ULM
ML
52% 17-16
50% 16-16
67% 22-11
70% 21-9
ATS
70% 23-10
78% 25-7
67% 22-11
70% 21-9
TTL
70% 23-10
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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