AKRON
ZIPSAKR
24-5 | Road
77
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
10-19 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
100%
CHIPPEWAS
0%
ZIPS
--
CHIPPEWAS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Central Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CMU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)
AKR By 1-7 points
13.7%
AKR By 8-14 points
4.8%
CMU By 1-7 points
25.3%
CMU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
86
AKRON
Central Michigan
94
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Akron
70
AKRON
Central Michigan
75
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chippewas
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chippewas
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chippewas (+11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Chippewas (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
AKR @ CMU
77 - 64
Jan 6, 2026
CMU @ AKR
69 - 82
Feb 15, 2025
AKR @ CMU
85 - 82
Jan 7, 2025
CMU @ AKR
71 - 87
Feb 6, 2024
CMU @ AKR
47 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+193.3% more
Central Michigan: 4.8
vs
Akron: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+8.7% more
Central Michigan: 7.5
vs
Akron: 6.9
Assists (L5)
+15.9% more
Akron: 18.0
vs
Central Michigan: 15.1
Rebounding (L5)
+13.4% more
Akron: 38.2
vs
Central Michigan: 33.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
86.0
77
CMU Score
94.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 41.7
43.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.1 / 18.0
16.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.8 / 1.6
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 51.0
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 79.7
67.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 38.2
25.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.9
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 12.7
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
CMU
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
AKR
CMU
AKR
ML
57%
17-13
71%
24-10
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
ATS
67%
20-10
76%
26-8
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
TTL
67%
20-10
59%
20-14
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
