EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
10-19 | Road
67
BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
16-13 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
BULLS
100%
EAGLES
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EMU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
EMU By 1-7 points
15.3%
EMU By 8-14 points
25.3%
BUF By 1-7 points
4.8%
BUF By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Michigan
87
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Buffalo
72
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Eastern Michigan
68
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Buffalo
75
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
EMU @ BUF
67 - 72
Jan 25, 2025
BUF @ EMU
77 - 90
Feb 20, 2024
EMU @ BUF
69 - 78
Jan 27, 2024
BUF @ EMU
65 - 75
Feb 7, 2023
EMU @ BUF
97 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.1% more
Eastern Michigan: 5.4
vs
Buffalo: 3.6
Rebounding (L5)
+21.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 36.2
vs
Buffalo: 28.6
Turnovers (L5)
+12.4% more
Eastern Michigan: 12.4
vs
Buffalo: 10.9
Steals (L5)
+79.8% more
Buffalo: 9.2
vs
Eastern Michigan: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EMU Score
87.0
67
BUF Score
72.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 33.2
38.0 / 17.0
Assists
15.0 / 12.8
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.4
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 42.3
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 73.4
77.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
28.6 / 36.2
31.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.2 / 5.1
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 12.4
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
BUF
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
BUF
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
EMU
BUF
EMU
ML
45%
14-17
65%
20-11
45%
14-17
70%
21-9
ATS
55%
17-14
65%
20-11
45%
14-17
70%
21-9
TTL
48%
15-16
71%
22-9
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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